Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.975739 1.113433 1.263397 1.438832 1.638433 1.858469 2.119463
2025-02-23 0.739137 0.921261 1.137337 1.412530 1.753729 2.162992 2.691483
2025-03-02 0.611031 0.810184 1.061054 1.400140 1.846589 2.414604 3.192905
2025-03-09 0.528720 0.737445 1.013574 1.405400 1.947235 2.670563 3.710803
2025-03-16 0.466318 0.679646 0.974128 1.410012 2.038975 2.914339 4.227110
2025-03-23 0.419542 0.636051 0.946525 1.423788 2.139189 3.172646 4.781694
2025-03-30 0.369509 0.580815 0.894597 1.393947 2.169025 3.327528 5.194205
2025-04-06 0.327863 0.532930 0.847471 1.364373 2.193056 3.471424 5.597716
2025-04-13 0.288854 0.484541 0.793954 1.317993 2.183972 3.560006 5.917894
2025-04-20 0.279918 0.483563 0.814821 1.391869 2.372793 3.975085 6.797929
2025-04-27 0.269905 0.479476 0.829679 1.456250 2.550331 4.384858 7.703049
2025-05-04 0.259261 0.473018 0.839520 1.512188 2.717218 4.788849 8.631124
2025-05-11 0.243739 0.456838 0.831814 1.537978 2.836104 5.124650 9.477990
2025-05-18 0.221562 0.426392 0.796111 1.510172 2.856470 5.289192 10.032936
2025-05-25 0.203937 0.402565 0.769956 1.496929 2.901277 5.499627 10.688253
2025-06-01 0.190644 0.385616 0.754809 1.502550 2.981098 5.779528 11.496630
2025-06-08 0.178547 0.369772 0.740186 1.507479 3.059284 6.061495 12.331625
2025-06-15 0.168671 0.357393 0.731079 1.522199 3.157475 6.388981 13.283392
2025-06-22 0.154716 0.335240 0.700459 1.490311 3.158164 6.523086 13.853287
2025-06-29 0.142126 0.314739 0.671337 1.458708 3.156182 6.650606 14.418714
2025-07-06 0.129035 0.291903 0.635324 1.409144 3.111593 6.685997 14.790794
2025-07-13 0.128453 0.296536 0.657924 1.488090 3.350079 7.333344 16.536778
2025-07-20 0.126849 0.298703 0.675299 1.556889 3.571870 7.962060 18.294017